Toronto Raptors shot profile: where the points come from

Toronto Ultimate

Toronto’s offense in 2025-26 is defined by balance. The Raptors are not an extreme “40 threes a night” team, but they still lean modern with a healthy three-point diet, frequent paint touches, and enough free throws to keep the scoring floor steady. Here is the cleanest breakdown of where the Raptors’ points are actually coming from this season.

The shot mix in one table

Based on 2025-26 team averages:

CategoryPer gameWhat it tells you
Points per game114.0Overall scoring output
Field goal attempts89.5Shot volume baseline
3PA33.5Threes are a major, not dominant, slice (about 37.4% of FGA)
3PM11.5About 34.5 points per game from threes
3P%34.4%Efficiency is the swing area
FTM17.7About 17.7 points per game at the line
FTA22.7Solid foul pressure for a team that shoots this many threes

If you translate that into scoring sources:

  • Points from threes: 11.5 x 3 = 34.5
  • Points from free throws: 17.7
  • Estimated points from two-pointers: 114.0 − 34.5 − 17.7 = 61.8

The three-point layer: enough volume, but the percent has to rise

Toronto is attempting 33.5 threes per game, which is plenty to stretch defenses and create driving lanes. The problem is conversion. At 34.4%, the Raptors’ three-point shooting sits in the “fine, but not scary” zone, which can shrink spacing late in games.

A simple way to read Toronto’s best offensive nights: the threes are created by paint touches first, not by early-clock pull-ups. When the Raptors’ drives force rotations, their threes get cleaner and the percentage plays up.

Three-point snapshotValue
3PA per game33.5
3PM per game11.5
3P%34.4%

Paint scoring: where Toronto creates real pressure

Even with a meaningful three-point share, the Raptors still get a huge chunk of scoring inside. On NBA tracking, Toronto is listed among the league leaders in percentage of points in the paint, at 45.8%.

That number fits the eye test. Toronto’s offense is at its best when it plays through physicality, cuts, and quick decisions around the rim. It also creates a nice side effect: paint pressure tends to generate free throws and kick-out threes, which is exactly the mix Toronto needs given the current 3P%.

Free throws: the stabilizer when shots swing

Toronto is making 17.7 free throws per game on 22.7 attempts, which gives the offense a reliable points stream even if the jump shooting goes cold. In a shot profile like this, free throws are not just “bonus points.” They are a way to win possessions when you are not hitting threes at a high clip.

What to watch next

If you are tracking the Raptors game to game, these are the levers that change the whole profile:

Swing factorWhy it matters
3P% climbing above 35%With 33.5 attempts, small gains move the scoreboard fast
Paint share staying high45.8% of points in the paint is how Toronto keeps pressure on defenses
FTA holding in the low 20sFree throws keep the offense stable in cold stretches

Toronto already has the structure of a modern scoring attack. If the three-point efficiency ticks up while the paint pressure stays, the Raptors’ shot profile becomes a lot tougher to guard for 48 minutes.

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