San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Prediction NBA (Feb 25, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs visit the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena in a strong cross-conference matchup between two playoff-position teams. San Antonio enters 41-16 and Toronto is 34-24, with the Spurs carrying a nine-game winning streak into the game.

This is also the second meeting of the season. San Antonio won the first matchup 121-103, so Toronto gets a home rematch with a chance to split the season series.

Spurs vs Raptors quick snapshot

The headline context from ESPN is simple: San Antonio has been one of the hottest teams in the league, while Toronto remains a legitimate East contender but is coming off a back-to-back spot after playing Oklahoma City. Reuters noted the Raptors lost 116-107 to the Thunder on Tuesday night.

Data from ESPN game/preview pages.

Injury report and availability swing factors

The key availability questions are on the Toronto side. ESPN lists Jakob Poeltl (back) and Scottie Barnes (quadriceps) as game-time decisions, both of which matter a lot for Toronto’s defense, rebounding, and half-court organization. San Antonio’s listed absences are lighter, with Mason Plumlee out (not injury related) and David Jones Garcia out for the season.

Local reporting also listed Toronto’s likely starters and highlighted rookie center Collin Murray-Boyles in the mix, which becomes more important if Poeltl is limited.

Injury listings via ESPN.

Matchup keys that decide the game

1) San Antonio’s momentum and shot-making form

The Spurs are rolling, and Reuters reported they just beat Detroit to extend the streak to nine, with Devin Vassell scoring 28 points and hitting seven threes. That matters because San Antonio’s offense becomes much harder to contain when the perimeter shooting complements Victor Wembanyama’s interior gravity.

2) Toronto’s back-to-back legs and defensive rebounding

Toronto pushed OKC hard on Tuesday, even erasing a large deficit before losing late. Reuters noted the Raptors were without Poeltl (rest) in that game. If Poeltl is still limited and Barnes is not fully healthy, Toronto’s rebounding and rim protection become harder to trust against San Antonio’s size and spacing.

3) Wembanyama’s all-around control

Local reporting highlighted Wembanyama as San Antonio’s leader in points, rebounds, and blocks, which is exactly the kind of profile that shifts matchups on the road. If Toronto cannot keep him off the offensive glass or force the ball out of his comfort zones, the Spurs should generate cleaner looks over four quarters.

What the first meeting suggests

San Antonio’s 121-103 win in the first meeting is a useful baseline because it shows the Spurs can create enough offense against Toronto’s defensive schemes when they control pace and shot quality. Toronto at home is a different test, but San Antonio has already shown it can win this matchup style.

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors prediction

Toronto has the home floor and enough shot creation to make this competitive, especially if Barnes and Poeltl both play. But San Antonio’s current form, cleaner rotation health, and two-way stability give the Spurs the stronger baseline entering Wednesday night. ESPN’s preview also listed San Antonio as the favorite, which matches the broader matchup profile.

Prediction: Spurs 118, Raptors 111.
San Antonio’s edge is its current rhythm, perimeter shooting confidence, and the Wembanyama matchup pressure that forces Toronto into difficult defensive decisions.